Kamis, 16 Juni 2016

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MAKALAH
USAHA KECIL DAN MENENGAH
(SMALL AND MEDIUM-SIZED ENTERPRISES)
 

Disusun Oleh:
1.      Indah Margareth (23215336)
2.      Junita Kurniawati (23215638)
3.      Rosalia Ernawati (26215271)
Kelas : 1EB22



AKUNTANSI, FAKULTAS EKONOMI
UNIVERSITAS GUNADARMA
Jalan KH. Noer Ali Kalimalang
Bekasi Barat, 17145 Telp. (021) 888601
2016

SMALL AND MEDIUM-SIZED ENTERPRISES (SMES)
1.      DEFINITION OF SMES
Small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) are non-subsidiary, independent firms which employ fewer than a given number of employees. This number varies across countries. The most frequent upper limit designating an SME is 250 employees, as in the European Union. However, some countries set the limit at 200 employees, while the United States considers SMEs to include firms with fewer than 500 employees. 
Small firms are generally those with fewer than 50 employees, while micro-enterprises have at most 10, or in some cases 5, workers.

Financial assets are also used to define SMEs. In the European Union, a new definition came into force on 1 January 2005 applying to all Community acts and funding programmes as well as in the field of State aid where SMEs can be granted higher intensity of national and regional aid than large companies. The new definition provides for an increase in the financial ceilings: the turnover of medium-sized enterprises (50-249 employees) should not exceed EUR 50 million; that of small enterprises (10-49 employees) should not exceed EUR 10 million while that of micro firms (less than 10 employees) should not exceed EUR 2 million. Alternatively, balance sheets for medium, small and micro enterprises should not exceed EUR 43 million, EUR 10 million and EUR 2 million, respectively.

SMES in Indonesia
Definition of SME and Its basis
The definition of ‘Small & Medium Enterprises’ under Indonesian law differs from the generally accepted definition of ‘Small & Medium Enterprises(UKM―Usaha Kecil dan Menengah)’. The country’s definition of ‘Small &Medium Enterprises’ was set out in the Small Enterprise Act No. 9 of 1995(UNDANG UNDANG REPUBLIK INDONESIA NOMOR 9 TAHUN 1995TENTANG USAHA KECIL), where companies that would generally be considered medium sized are included under the definition for “small enterprises” and the definition for “medium enterprises” under Indonesian law roughly equates to the Japanese definition of “medium enterprises”.
The definition of small enterprises under Act No. 9 is as follows:
a.      A business that owns net assets worth 200 million rupiahs or less. However these assets shall not include land or buildings.
b.      Annual Sales of 1 billion rupiah (net) or less.
c.       Owned by a citizen of Indonesia.
d.      An independent economic entity, which is not a subsidiary or branch of a large or medium enterprise, and is not directly or indirectly controlled (including where the operator is dispatched from a large or medium enterprise) by a large or medium enterprise.
e.       The business is managed by an individual, an unincorporated entity, or a cooperative organization.

DEVELOPMENT OF THE NUMBER OF UNITS AND WORKFORCE IN SMES
SMEs have historically been the main player in the Indonesian economy, especially as a large provider of employment opportunities, and hence a generator of primary or secondary sources of income for many households (Tambunan, 2006). Typically, Indonesian SMEs account for more than 90% of all firms (Table 5), and thus they are the biggest source of employment, providing livelihood for over 90% of the country’s workforce, especially women and the young. The majority of SMEs, especially the smallest units, i.e.
MIEs are scattered widely throughout rural areas and therefore may play an important role as a starting point for development of villagers’ talents as entrepreneurs, especially those of women. MIEs are dominated by selfemployment enterprises without hired paid workers. They are the most traditional enterprises, generally with low levels of productivity, poor quality products, and serve small, localized markets. There is little or no technological dynamism in this group.
The majority of these enterprises are comprised of subsistence activities. Some of them are economically viable over the long-term, but a large portion is not. Many MIEs face closure or very difficult upgrading especially with import liberalization, changing technology and the growing demand for higher quality modern products. However, the existence or growth of this type of enterprise can be seen as an early phase of entrepreneurship development.
Table. Total Units of Enterprises by Size Category: 1997-2006 (In thousand)
The output structure by size of enterprises and sectors shows that agriculture has always been the key sector for SEs, as they produce around 86% to 87% of total output in the sector. The second important sector for this group of enterprises is trade, and hotels and restaurants with their annual share ranging from 74% to 76%. MEs, on the other hand, have the largest output contribution in finance, rents & services at around 46% to 47%, followed by transportation and communication with a share ranging from the lowest 23.47% in 2006 to the highest 26.22% in 2001. In manufacturing industries, both SEs and MEs are traditionally not as strong when compared to LEs.
In the manufacturing industry, SMEs are involved mainly in simple traditional manufacturing activities such as wood products, including furniture, textiles, garments, footwear, and food and beverages. Only a small portion of total SMEs are engaged in the production of machinery, production tools and automotive components. This is generally carried out through subcontracting systems with several multinational car companies such as Toyota and Honda. This structure of industry reflects the current technological capability of Indonesian SMEs, which are not yet as strong in producing sophisticated technology-embodied products as their counterparts in other countries such as South Korea, Japan, and Taiwan.9 With respect to output growth, the performance of SMEs is relatively good as compared to that of LEs
The output growth of SEs and MEs was 3.96% and 4.59% in 2001 and increased to 5.38% and 5.44%, respectively in 2006, compared to LEs with a growth rate of 3.04% and 5.60%. Thus, SMEs’ contribution to the annual GDP growth is higher than that of LEs (Figure 1). The higher growth rates in SMEs are not because their productivity in general is higher than that in LEs, but mainly because their number is huge and the increase of total workers in these enterprises are always higher than that in LEs, as the latter in general have more capital (or less labor) intensive enterprises compared to SMEs.

 THE VALUE OF OUTPUT AND VALUE ADDED
The role of SMEs in Indonesia in the form of contributions sufficient output besar.Kontribusi UK GDP growth to GDP smaller than its contribution to employment / ZERO ratio indicates that the level of productivity in the UK is lower than at UM and in UB .The level of productivity measured in terms of L and K (PP / from TFP: productivity of the factors of production total.Pasar served different markets UK.Pasar UM UM serves many middle to upper income people with income elasticities UK positif.Pasa served more groups of low-income buyers with elasticity negative revenue.
Of the BPS (Statistics Indonesia 2001) on NO and NT from the UK in the manufacturing sector by industry group (code 31 s / d 39), there are some interesting things. First, NO or NT varies by sub-sector, and the most (as also indicated by data from other sources), namely food and beverages, and tobacco (31), and textile products (TPT), and leather and its products (32), and wood and its products (33), which gives an impression that the IK and IMI are generally superior in all three sub-sectors were compared in other subsectors. Second, in some industry groups such as 31 and 33, NO or NT IMI greater than IK.
While the results SUSI (2000) presents data on the gross product value (NO), the cost of, and wages and salaries of unincorporated businesses. Of the difference between NO and costs between, can obtain an idea of the magnitude of the NT that was created by the business groups. Trade, retail, and restaurant and accommodation services is a sector in which the business is not incorporated to produce NO at most; followed by manufacturing. This last sector, NO IMI slightly smaller than NO created by Ik. In SUSI 2000, NO and its calculation of the NT-business is not incorporated also in jaabarkan by region.
In addition to its contribution to the growth of employment and as an important source of income, SMEs in Indonesia is also highly desirable because it has great potential as a source of important developments (diversification) and the growth of X, X especially manufacturing. Indonesian SMEs ability to realize its potential X is determined by a combination of a number of factors relative advantages possessed Indonesian SMEs over their competitors, both from within and outside the country.
In the context of economics / international trade, the sense of relative superiority can be approached with a comparative advantage. excellence komporatif owned Uk Indonesia, especially its labor-intensive (and Indonesia has a number of L is large), the skills "Traditional" owned small businesses (and workers) to build an all products, especially handicraft items (which are the skills people already owned old from generation to generation), and abundant raw materials (especially agricultural-based products). Unfortunately Uk in Indonesia is still relatively weak, especially in human resources management in the appeal, marketing, modern production processes, or more advanced (beyond the traditional manufacturing), innovation and mastery of technology.

EXPORT
Export trade is by way of removing the goods from inside to outside a country's customs territory to other countries by fulfilling conditions apply. It should be noted that the subject matter/owned by the exporter: (Anton Yudi Setiano, 2008) .
a.       Exporters have a business license to trade both individuals and agency inform 
b.      The exporter is obliged to know the banned goods exported by the Government or Government permission must be 
c.       Exporters should be aware of the export of goods to a country that is prohibited by the Government 
Export-oriented SMES, according to (Tambunan, 2003) are classified into two, namely Manufacturers Exporters Directly (Direct Exporter) and Indirect Exporters (Indirect Exporter).
a.       Direct Exporters Manufacturers SMES SMES which are generating export products and sell them directly to the foreign buyer (buyer) or the importer 
b.      SME Exporters SMES that are not directly produce exports, export activities that do not directly with the buyer/importer, but by agents of the export trade or domestic exporters

The number of SME'S Export Manufacturers only 0.19 percent of total SMEs in Indonesia. As for other SMES 99.81 percent exports indirectly and/or just do the sales in the domestic market. SME Manufacturers Export group, the number of SMES that do export itself is only 8.7 percent, while other SME 91.3 percent export activities carried out by the importer. If the date of the value of the share of exports, the share of export value of SME Exporters Indirectly totalling 99.02 percent, while the share of exports of SME Manufacturers Exporters of 0.98 percent. However, the rate of gain obtained larger Exporters Manufacturers SMES compared to SME Exporters indirectly. Small business (UK) who had a major role in exports is the UK that rely on the skill of the hands (hand made), jewelry and crafts such as woodcarving.
Characteristics are the hallmarks of the UK, where more rely on the skills of the hand, so it tends to be labor intensive. Large scale efforts (UB) which tends to be capital-intensive, surely it will be difficult to get into the business world. On the other hand, this gives you an idea of the importance of labor absorption in the UK, particularly at a time of economic crisis. The main export destination country UK in General, but if Singapore is traced according to commodities, export destination country is relatively diverse. The high value of exports to Singapore gives an overview there is still the potential for increased value added or economic rent UK against the exported product, if the exporting country can directly to consumers. This is because Singapore is "transit export", meaning that the UK products exported to Singapore will be exported to other countries. Despite barely changing the orientation of the export destination countries, but the share of exports to each country of destination between the time tends to fluctuating.

There are two factors affecting export-oriented SMES cannot export directly, i.e. export trading and financing problems problem.
a.       Export trading problem occurs due to the high risk of export activities (both the risk of payment or delivery of the goods), there is a time lag (time lag) in payments, and the high cost of exports.
b.      Financingproblem occur due to limited capital owned SMEs and finance and guarantee institution problem, namely the lack of support the export guarantee and financing institutions towards SMES. The condition menngakibatkan marketing strategies SMES tend to wait for the buyer, so that the mechanism of trade that occurs generally is a buyer's market.

In this case it is the export of the resulting product for small and medium businesses.
As for some of the obstacles of SME export among others: 
1.      A trade globalisation demands the increasing response of businessmen to changes of the market and the behavior of kondumen in particular. The speed of change in the market demand and consumer tastes, demanding products offered must be innovative, diverse and product cycle became relatively shorter. The ability to access global markets, product innovation or even mengadop mengkreasi product innovation which suits the needs of the market, is a row of weakness owned SMES in general 
2.      In general, SME in producing goods/services only concentrated on a number of products/services that have traditionally been handled certain business groups and on market only. Therefore less encouraging diversification SME good product/service design, shape or function of the product produced. Low level of diversification of SMEs, SMES only give the impression that specializes in traditional product/service that has comparative advantages such as apparel and other textile products, leather goods finished goods such as footwear, and out of wood, including furniture and handicraft items

3.      The low accessibility to productive resources, especially with regard to financing, information, promotion, technology, and business networking products export.

 PROSPECT FOR SMALL AND MEDIUM UNIT IN THE ERA OF FREE TRADE AND GLOBALIZATION OF THE WORLD
1.      Prospect for Small and Medium Unit in The Era of Free
Small and medium enterprises have been proven to be able to live and thrive in crisis storm for more than six years, its existence has been able to contribute to GDP by almost 60%, employment of 88.7% of the workforce in Indonesia and the contribution of SMES to export in 1997 amounted to 7.5% (BPS 2000). In the era of free trade and regional autonomy, the development of SMES is directed at: (1). The development of a conducive business environment for SMES; (2). Development financial institutions that can provide access to capital resources that is transparent and cheaper; (3). Provide business development services to SMES nonfinancial more effective; and (4). The formation of strategic alliances between SMES and other SMES or large enterprises in Indonesia or abroad. Develop or demise of small and medium businesses in free trade depends on the ability to compete and increase efficiency and establish business networks with other institutions.
The economic crisis is now over six years old. However, signs of recovery are expected presumably still running very slow and sluggish pace, although the exchange rate is getting stronger and the national socio-political condition is getting better. Slow economic recovery is demonstrated, among others, from the still low level of national economic growth, high unemployment and poverty as well as "stagnant" development of large-scale business activities of both FDI and domestic investment. In detail, the figures the development of macro-economic indicators are not promising we can see in the report is issued, either by the Central Bureau of Statistics as well as in the literature of economics other woods (eg, Prema Chandra Athukorola, Bulletin Of Indonesian Economic Studies, August 2002; the Central Bureau statistics, 2002 and 2003). Engine for economic recovery is still very dependent on the amount of consumption levels alone, and less driven by portfolio investment and export activities.
Amid the economic recovery is still slow, the national economy is also haunted with national ambitions to regional autonomy and decentralization. In addition, the national commitment to implement multilateral free trade (WTO), regional (AFTA), APEC informal cooperation, and even ASEAN Economic Community (AEC) by 2020 is an extra chore that must also be taken seriously. In terms of local autonomy and decentralization, various problems still chaotic. This happens because on one hand, there are certain parties who remain eager to make local autonomy and decentralization in accordance with Law no. 22/1999 and Law no. 25/1999, while on the other hand many are demanding revision of the second pedestal these laws. Tug of war is further cause for uncertainty, so many areas set many new regulations, especially with regard to local taxes, licenses and other levies. It is estimated that more than 1,000 regulations relating to taxes and other levies have been issued since the enactment of the areas of decentralization (Jakarta Post, May 6, 2002). These regulations have resulted in a heavy burden for the implementation of business activity in the area (Firdausy, 2002; Elias Saad, 2002).
Under no circumstances and economic conditions are not conducive, the development activities of small and medium enterprises (hereinafter SMES) is regarded as an important alternative capable of reducing the burden faced by the national and regional economy. Economic arguments behind it that because SMES are the dominant business activity of this nation. Besides the development of SMES activities relative does not require capital large and in a period of crisis for SMES relatively Utahan slam ", especially SMES related to agricultural activities. The depreciation of the rupiah against the US dollar has led SMES in the agricultural sector can make profits relatively large. Conversely, SMES are dependent on imported inputs crash with the depreciation of the rupiah's volatility.
The aim of this brief article discusses the prospects for the SMES business in the era of free trade and regional autonomy. To discuss this topic, the following will describe the potential and contribution of SMEs to the national economy as a background analysis. Then, discussed what efforts should be made in the development of SMES, especially in the area in the face of free trade and regional autonomy.

2.      Prospect for Small and Medium Unit Globalization of The World
For each of the business units of all sizes and in all sectors of the economy, the era of free trade and globalization of the world economy on the one hand will create a lot of opportunities. On the other hand also creates many challenges faced when they can not properly be incarnated as ancaman.bentuk opportunities and challenges that will arise will necessarily be different according to the different types of economic activity. Globalization of the world economy also increases the uncertainty mainly due to higher capital mobilization, human and production resources more and more integrated activities of production, investment, and finance among nations, among others, could cause disturbances economic sector in the region due to the direct effect of the economic instability in the region other.
·         The Nature of Existence SMES
Small businesses units in Indonesia is dominated by business units traditionally, that one side can be built and operated only by working capital and capital investment is small and without the need to implement a system of organization and management of modern complex and expensive, as diusaha-modern business and on the other side Distinct to medium sized enterprises, small businesses generally make barng simple consumer goods for the needs of low-income communities. The implications of this nature is different with medium and large businesses, small businesses actually not too dependent on government facilities.
·         The Ability of SMEs
In the era of free trade and globalization of the world economy, advances in technology, the mastery of science and high-quality human resources are the three factors of competitive advantage that will become dominant in the good or the prospects of a business.





BAB II
EXAMPLES OF CASES AND ANALYSIS
Effective small and medium units to Tackle Unemployment

SMES Effectively Tackle Unemployment Deputy Minister for Human Resources Development, the Ministry of Cooperatives and Small and Medium Enterprises, Agus Muharram states SMES proven to effectively combat unemployment. "In addition, the micro, small, and medium enterprises (SMES) was also shown to effectively address the problem poverty and job creation, "he said when opening the Technical Skills Training and Vocational Aquaculture catfish in Cisarua, Bogor, West Java, Wednesday. Exercise until March 19, 2011 was held in cooperation with the Foundation for Community Empowerment Development Indonesia (YP2MI) .He suggests, SMES constitute the largest business unit in Indonesia which mencapai52,76 million, employs more than 91.8 million people. "Or more than 97.3 percent of the workforce Indonesia is the contribution," said. And other, he said, SMEs are also able to contribute significantly to the formation of domestic product (GDP) is 55.6 percent or worth more than Rp42,8 trillion . "the contribution of SMES to the total national value of non-oil exports reached 20.15 percent or Rp42,8 trillion," said. Advanced that the performance of UKM provide enough evidence that the tidal economic situation, SMEs are still able to contribute to foreign exchange in the country. "SMES have also been tested as a business group that has the responsiveness, flexibility, and a remarkable adaptation to changes in the market, "Muharram said. Agus suggests, open mindset to want to entrepreneurship is a strategic business that can generate and create something of value or benefit to the community." thus, in fact an entrepreneur is an innovator or reformer, both for the socio-economic environment as well as for himself, "said. In this regard, he said, the rise of entrepreneurship is in attitude and initiative or initiative, as an effort to move the process of economic change" mindset "resources in order to achieve productivity adapted to the capacity of each source daya. He say, training for community groups considering the strategic value of Indonesia's population is a great potential." Although it still has limitations in control of the national economy, it would be food for thought to develop a cadre of entrepreneurs in all sectors of the economy,"said. While, Chairman of the Indonesian Community Empowerment Development Foundation (YP2MI) Ir Muhammad M Banapon, MSI said the purpose of the activity is to provide an understanding of pro-people program of the government, the problem of poverty i.e. countermeasures. Participants is small entrepreneurs, SMEs, from Bogor regency as many as 30 people. the resource person is from the Ministry of Cooperatives and UKM, the Ministry of Fisheries Marine and, Deputy coordinating Minister for coordination of poverty reduction, Senior Manager of CSR PT Antam, PMD Director General of the Ministry of Interior, as well as IPB fisheries experts.2010, UKM sector predicted Tumbuh25% JAKARTA - the Indonesian Chamber of Commerce and Industry (Kadin) Indonesia estimates, micro, small, and medium enterprises (UKM) will grow by around 25% in 2010 compared to the 2009 forecast range of 15-20%. Vice Chairman of Kadin UKM and cooperatives Sandiaga S Uno said, it would be achieved if the microfinance platform that was wrought in Kadin roadmap can be realized. "I'm optimistic, the platform will be realized. Thus, the growth of UKM will be engaged at the level of 25-30% from year to year. in addition, the financing in favor of micro business sector will also encourage the empowerment that directs the business unit grade. there main value, "said Uno in Jakarta, Saturday (8/8) .On the other hand, he said, about 99% of Indonesian UKM unit has not been touched by financial institutions. It was, he said, because they are considered not bankable because they do not have collateral or guarantee assets "Currently, there are about 51 million SMEs, ie up to 99% are micro business unit," said Sandiaga. Menurut him, today, supported by finance institutions only about 2 million UKM dominated the food business as well as services and trade, it was melaluikredit (KUR) and they belong to the small-medium business unit. Selamaini, micro-units, especially in agriculture and business units at the grassroots level, relying on loan sharks with mencekik.Untuk interest, he added. Kadin financing schemes set micronnanceunhik micro business, small, and medium enterprises (UKM) in Indonesia. The microfinance platform he said, an important pillar in the roadmap Chamber of Commerce in order to empower UKM and cooperatives in Indonesia. Rencanaya, the roadmap will be completed in October 2009 and handed over to the cabinet pe-new merintahan. Uno sure, proposed in the roadmap would be accepted and implemented by the government mendatang.Keyakinan it, he said, because it was with representatives of the Ministry of Cooperatives and UKM also recently made a working visit to Bangladesh on August 6, 2009. "During the visit by the founder kamiditantang Grameen Bank, Professor M. Yunus, to develop microfinance seriously in the country. According to M Yunus, credit is a fundamental right of every human being, including the poor. He strongly believed, microcredit is a surefire answer to the problem of poverty, "said Uno. he explained that, currently, there are no financial institutions are serious in microfinance schemes in accordance with the topography of the Indonesian population. Meanwhile, he continued, this time Kadin seriously preparing for empowerment of UKM and cooperatives by mobilizing micro credit through a network of microfinance institutions non-banking more flexible, effective, and efficient. "Microcredit is a form of joint intervention between employers, government and academia to eradicate poverty. so, it takes a loan does not require collateral or guarantee assets and are not suffocating flowers. During this time, many forms of unsecured loans but the interest was so high that can not be reached by small entrepreneurs especially micro, "said Sandiaga.Bukopin gelontorkan 60% credit for UKM Jakarta - PT Bank Bukopin Tbk (BBKP) drill-sector financing small and medium enterprises (UKM) to Rp 21.45 trillion, or 60% of total credit target company in the year 2011 which reached Rp 35.75 triliun.Hal is delivered Tri Joko Prihanto, Finance Director of Bank Bukopin, in a written statement received second Finance, Monday (14/3/2011) .He expressed its loan portfolio during the year 2010 amounting to Rp 28.6 trillion. Where this year, Bukopin targets the financing to grow 20-25% ie to Rp 35.75 trillion. "BBKP allocate approximately 60% of the total loan portfolio for business credit the Small and Medium Enterprises (UKM), wherein the portion equivalent to growth of 30% compared UKM lending in 2010 amounted to Rp 16.9 trillion,". to support financing, the company has issued a Limited Public Offering (LPO) II Rp 900 billion. A total of Rp5 60 billion or 62% of the funds PUT II is intended as a development of the SMES segment. "This target will be achieved by a strategy of partnership and increase added value to our strategic partners," said Tri Joko. Bukopin also increase the fund's income source and strengthen the fundamentals of third-party funds (DPK) with sharpening strategy in the consumer business segment. Where the strategy to fruition, by the year 2010 third party managed funds we collect to grow 30%.
ANALYSIS
SMEs i.e. useful for addressing the problem of poverty that exists and can also create jobs and vocational training with the opening. SME is also the largest units that can be reached approximately 52.67 million and employs over 57.0 million. other benefits that SMEs contribute to GDP reached 26.6 trillion. Senior Manager of CSR PT Antam, PMD Director General of the Department of the Interior, as well as Fisheries experts predicted the IPB SMEs will grow 25% in 2010 compared with many forecasts in 2009 that is 15-20%. SMEs in 2010 it can be achieved if a microfinance platform wrought in the Chamber of Commerce and industry roadmap can be realized. Thus, the growth of SMES will be involved at the level of 25-30% from year to year. financing supports the micro enterprise sector will also encourage the empowerment of the direct value of the business units. about 99% of the SME unit Indonesia untouched by financial institutions as they are considered not available bank because they do not have a warranty or guaranty assets.

In the meantime, this time the Chamber of Commerce and industry are seriously preparing for the empowerment of SMES and cooperatives with mobilizing micro-credit through microfinance institutions network non-bank more flexible, effective, and efficient. Micro-credit is a form of joint intervention between employers, Government and academia to alleviate poverty. So, it needs the loans Do not require collateral or guarantee assets and not strangle the flowers. Bukopin & 60% credit for SMES of total loans the company target of 2011 to reach Rp 119 trillion that became 21.45 trillion. MBAI allocates approximately 60% of the total loan portfolio credit for small businesses and medium-sized businesses (SMEs), where are the equivalent of a 30% growth compared to the SME lending in 2010 amounted to Rp 16.9 trillion, ". to support the financing, the company has issued a limited public offering (LPO) II Rp 900 billion. A total of 60 Rp5 billion or 62% of the funds that put II is intended as a development of the SME segment.


DAFTAR PUSTAKA



Selasa, 19 April 2016

Diposting oleh RosaliaErnawati di 22.14 0 komentar
PRODUK DOMESTIk BRUTO, PERTUMBUHAN, DAN PERUBAHAN STRUKTUR EKONOMI

( 26215271 , 23215638 , 23215336 )


1.     PDB (PRODUK DOMESTIK BRUTO) ATAU GDP (GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT)
Yaitu menghitung hasil produksi suatu perekonomian tanpa memperhatikan siapa pemilik faktor produksi tersebut.Semua faktor produksi yang berlokasi dalam perekonomian tersebut outputnya diperhitungkan dalam PDB. Akibatnya, PDB kurang memberikan gambaran tentang berapa sebenarnya output yag dihasilkan oleh faktor-faktor produksi milik perekonomian domestik.
PDB adalah jumlah produk yang berupa barang maupun jasa yang dihasilkan oleh unit-unit produksi di dalam batas wilayah suatu Negara selama 1 tahun.
Dengan rumus :
GDP/PDB = C+I+G+(X-M)
Keterangan :
C = Konsumsi                                                             X = Ekspor
I = Investasi                                                                M = Impor
G = Pengeluaran pemerintah

2.     PERTUMBUHAN DAN PERUBAHAN STRUKTUR EKONOMI
Definisi Pertumbuhan Ekonomi
Pertumbuhan Ekonomi diartikan sebagai proses perubahan kondisi perekonomian suatu Negara secara berkesinambungan menuju keadaan yang lebih baik selama periode tertentu.
Pertumbuhan Ekonomi diartikan sebagai proses kenaikan kapasitas produksi suatu perekonomian yang diwujudkan dalam bentuk kenaikan pendapatan nasional.
Pertumbuhan ekonomi merupakan penambahan GDP, sehingga terjadi peningkatan national income.
Peningkatan Jumlah Penduduk
|
Peningkatan National Income
|
Peningkatan Kebutuhan Sehari-hari
National income dapat merujuk pada GDP, GNP atau NNP (Net national Product)
GNP = GDP + F, dimana F = pendapatan neto atas faktor luar negeri
NNP = GNP – D, dimana D = depresiasi
NP = NNP – Ttl, dimana Ttl = pajak tidak langsung neto.
GDP = NP + Ttl + D – F
NP = GDP + F – D- Ttl

Faktor-Faktor yang Mempengaruhi Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Indonesia
Subandi, dalam bukunya Sistem Ekonomi Indonesia menulis bahwa faktor yang mempengaruhi pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia secara umum, yaitu :
1.      Faktor produksi
2.      Faktor investasi
3.      Faktor perdagangan luar negeri dan neraca pembayaran
4.      Faktor kebijakan moneter dan inflasi
5.      Faktor keuangan Negara

3.     PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI SELAMA ORDE BARU HINGGA SEKARANG
Selama pemerintahan orde baru (sebelum krisis ekonomi 1997) dikatakan bahwa Indonesia telah mengalami suatu proses pembangunan ekonomi yang menakjubkan, paling tidak pada tingkat makro (agregat). Keberhasilan ini diukur dengan sejumlah indicator ekonomi makro.Yang umum dgunakan adalah tingkat PN perkapita dan laju pertumbuhan PDB pertahun.Pada tahun 1968 PN per kapita masih sangat rendah, hanya sekitar US$60.
Namun, sejak pelita 1 dimulai PN Indonesia perkapita mengalami peningkatan relatif tinggi setiap tahun dan pada akhir decade 1980-an telah mendekati US$500. Hal ini disebabkan oleh pertumbuhan PDB rata-rata pertahun juga tinggi 7-8% selama tahun 1970-an dan turun menjadi 3-4% pertahun. Selama 70-80an, proses yang cukup serius, yang terutama disebabkan oleh faktor-faktor eksternal, seperti merosotnya harga minyak mentah di pasar internasional menjelang pertengahan 1980-an dan resensi ekonomi dunia pada decade yang sama. Karena Indonesia sejak pemerintahan orde baru menganut sistem ekonomi terbuka, 18 goncangan-goncangan eksternal seperti itu sangat terasa dampaknya terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi.
Selain faktor harga, ekspor Indonesia, baik komoditas primer maupun barang-barang industri maju, seperti jepang, AS, dan eropa barat yang merupakan pasar pnting ekspor Indonesia.Dampak negative dari resensi ekonomi dunia tahun 1982 terhadap perekonomian Indonesia terutama terasa dalam laju pertumbuhan ekonomi selama 1982-1988 jauh lebih rendah dibandingkan periode sebelumnya. Karena pengalaman menunjukan bahwa biasanya resensi ekonomi dunia lebih mengakibatkan permintaan dunia berkurang terhadap bahan-bahan baku (yang sebagian besar di ekspor oleh NSB) daripada permintaan terhadap barang-barang konsumsi, seperti alat-alat rumah tangga dari elektronik dan mobil.
Pada saat krisis ekonomi mencapai klimaksnya, yakni tahun 1998, laju pertumbuhan PDB jatuh drastic hingga 13,1%. Namun, pada tahun berikutnya kembali positif walaupun kecil sekitar 0.8% dan tahun 2000 ekonomi Indonesia mengalami laju pertumbuhan yang tinggi hampir 5%. Namun tahun 2001 laju pertumbuhan ekonomi kembali merosot hingga 3.8% akibat gejolak politik yang sempat memanas kembali pada tahun 2007 laju pertumbuhan tercatat sedikit diatas 6%.
Antara tahun 1990 hingga sebelum menjelang krisis ekonomi, Indonesia tumbuh rata-rata pertahun diatas 8%. Kemajuan yang dicapai oleh cina dan india memang sangat menakjubkan. Pada awal dekade 90-an, pertumbuhan ekonomi dikedua Negara besar tersebut masing-masing tercatat hanya 3.8-5.3%.namun pada pertengahan dekade 90-an, pertumbuhan kedua Negara itu sudah menyamai bahka melewati persentasi Indonesia. Dari sejumlah Negara ASEAN yang juga dihantam krisis 1997/98, Indonesia memang paling parah dengan pertumbuhan negatif hingga 13.1%, disusul oleh Thailand dengan -10.5% dan Malaysia -7.4%. namun yang menakjubkan dari kedua Negara tersebut setahun setelah itu ekonomi mereka mulai pulih dibandingkan ekonomi Indonesia yang hanya 0.8%.
Laju pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia yang semakin membaik setelah 1998 tercerminkan pada peningkatan PDB perkapita atas dasar harga berlaku tercatat sekitar 4.8 juta rupiah. Tahun 1999 naik menjadi 5.4 juta rupiah dan berlangsung sehingga mencapai sekitar 10,6 juta rupiah pada tahun 2004, perkapita Indonesia pada tahun 2006 mencapai 1420 dalar AS, diatas india, tetapi masih jauh lebih rendah dibandingkan china.
Tahun 1998, sebagai akibat dari krisis ekonomi semua komponen pengeluaran mengalami penurunan terkecuali X yang mengakibatkan kontraksi AD SEKITAR 13%.Sedangkan perkembangan X bisa bertahan positif selama masa krisis terutama seperti yang telah dijelaskan sebelumnya. Komponen AD yag paling besar penurunannya selama 1998 adalah pembentukan modal bruto yang merosost sekitar 33.01% dibandingkan kontraksi dari pengeluaran konsumsi swasta sebesar 6.40% dan pengeluaran pemerintah sebesar 15.37%. besarnya penurunan investasi tersebut juga kelihatan jelas dari penurunan presentasinya terhadap PDB ada tahun 2000 pertumbuhan investasi sempat mencapai hamper 18%, namun setelah itu merosot terus hingga negatif pada tahun 2002.
Pada awalnya, salah satu faktor penting yang menyebabkan merosotnya kegiatan investasi dalam negeri selama masa krisis seperti juga di Negara-negara asia lain yang terkena krisis adalah karena kerugian besar yang dialami oleh perusahaan swasta akibat depresiasi rupiah yang besar, sementara utang luar negeri dlam mata uang dolah AS tidak dilindungi sebelumnya dengan kurs tertentu di pasar jangka waktu kedepan. Faktor-faktor lain yang membuat lesuya komponen investasi didalam AS diantaranya adalah jatuhnya harga saham, pelarian modal atau arus modal keluar lebih banyak daripada arus masuk dan risiko premium yang meningkat drastis. Dua faktor terakhir ini didorong oleh kondisi politik, sosial, keamanan, dan penegakan hukum yang buruk.


4.     FAKTOR-FAKTOR PENENTU PROSPEK PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI INDONESIA
-          Faktor Internal
Faktor internal yang mencakup factor ekonomi dan non ekonomi (politik, social dan keamanan).Lambatnya proses pemulihan ekonomi nasional lebih disebabkan kondisi politik, sosial, dan keamanan di dalam negeri. Pemulihan ekonomi Indonesia berjalan lambat karena proses perbaikan ekonomi nasional tidak disertai kestabilan politik dan keamanan yang memadai, penyelesaian konflik sosial, serta kepastian hukum (Tambunan,2001:43-44). Faktor ekonomi mencakup: pengendalian terhadap inflasi, cadangan devisa, rasio hutang Ln terhadap PDB, dan kondisi perbankan, serta kesiapan dunia usaha.
-          Faktor Eksternal
Faktor eksternal adalah faktor-faktor ekonomi yang mencakup perdagangan internasional dan pertumbuhan ekonomi dunia.Kondisi perdagangan dan perekonomian regional atau perekonomian dunia merupakan faktor eksternal yang sangat penting untuk mendukung pemulihan ekonomi Indonesia. Kondisi ini sangat berpengaruh terhadap prospek pertumbuhan ekspor dan investasi asing dalam negeri

5.     PERUBAHAN STRUKTUR EKONOMI
Pembangunan ekonomi jangka panjang (PDB/PN) merubah struktur ekonomi dari pertanian menuju industry (sector non primer) terutama industri manufaktur dengan increasing return to scale.Semakin cepat pertumbuhan ekonomi, semakin meningkat pendapatan perkapita, semakin cepat perubahan struktur ekonomi.
Perubahan struktur ekonomi/transformasi structural merupakan serangkaian perubahan yang saling terkait satu dengan lainnya dalam aggregate demand, perdagangan LN, dan aggregate supply untuk mendukung pembangunan dan pertumbuhan ekonomi.
Teori perubahan struktur ekonomi:
-          Teori Arthur Lewis (Teori migrasi)
Teori ini membahas pembangunan di pedesaan (perekonomian tradisional dengan pertanian sebagai sektor utama) dan perkotaaan (perekonomian modern dengan industri sebagai seckor utama).
Di pedesaan tingkat pertumbuhan penduduk sangat tinggi, sebagai kelebihan supply TK dan tingkat hidup yang subsistence, sehingga produk marjinalnya sama dengan nol dengan upah yang rendah.  Produk marjinal =0 berarti fungsi produksi sector pertanian telah optimal.
Jika jumlah TK > dari titik optimal, maka produktivitas menurun dan upah menurun.Dengan mengurangi jumlah TK yang terlalu banyak dibandingkan tanah dan capital tidak merubah jumlah outputnya.Diperkotaan, sektor industri kekurangan TK, sehingga produktivitas TK menjadi tinggi dan nilai produk marjinalnya positif yang menunjukkan fungsi produksinya belum mencapai titik optimal, sehingga upahnya juga tinggi.
Perbedaan upah ini menyebabkan migrasi/urbanisasi TK dari desa ke kota, sehingga upah TK meningkat dan akhirnya pendapatan Negara meningkat.Pendapatan yang meningkat meningkatkan permintaan makanan (output meningkat) dan dalam jangka panjang pereonomian pedesaan tumbuh dan permintaan produk industri dan jasa meningkat yang menjadi motor utama pertumbuhan output dan diversifikasi produk non pertanian.

-          Teori Hollis Chenery (Teori transformasi struktural/pattern of development)
Teori ini memfokuskan pada perubahan struktur ekonomi di LDCs yang mengalami transformasi dari pertanian tradisional ke sektor industri sebagai penggerak utama pertumbuhan. Penelitian Chenery menunjukkan peningkatan pendapatan perkapita merubah:
a)      pola konsumsi dari makanan dan kebutuhan pokok ke produk manufaktur dan jasa
b)      Akumulasi capital secara fisik dan SDM
c)      Perkambangan kota dan industry
d)     Penurunan laju pertumbuhan penduduk
e)      Ukuran keluarga yang kecil
f)       Sektor ekonomi didominasi oleh sektor non primer terutama industri
Chenery menyatakan bahwa proses transformasi struktural dapat dipercepat jika pergeseran pola permintaan domestic kearah produk manufaktur dan diperkuat dengan ekspor.
Yi = Di + (Xi-Mi) + ij
            Dimana            Yi        = output bruto industri manufaktur
                                    Di        = permintaan domestik untuk konsumsi
                                    X-M    = perdagangan neto (ekspor-impor)
                                    Yij       = penggunaan produk oleh perusahaan menufaktur sebagai input
Kenaikan produksi sector manufaktur merupakan kontribusi 4 faktor:
a)      Kenaikan permintaan domestic
b)      Peningkatan ekspor
c)      Substitusi impor
d)     Perubahan teknologi
Kelompok LDCs mengalami proses transisi ekonomi yang pesat dengan pola dan proses yang berbeda-beda sebagai akibat dari perbedaan antar negara:
a)      Kondisi dan struktur awal ekonomi DN (memiliki industry dasar atau tidak)
b)      Besar pasar DN (tergantung pada pertumbuhan penduduk)
c)      Pola distribusi pendapatan (merata atau tidak)
d)     Karakteristik industrialisasi (strategi pembangunan industri apakah ada industri yang diunggulkan)
e)      Keberadaan SDA (keberadaan kualitas dan kuantitas SDA)
f)       Kebijakan perdagangan LN (kebijakan tertutup/protektif industri DN atau terbuka/promosi ekspor).

6.     ARTIKEL
2015 GOOD FOR GROWTH, BAD FOR BUSINESS
America's economic growth in last year's fourth quarter was surprisingly strong, yet corporate profits sagged. The U.S. economy expanded 1.4 percent in the final three months of 2015.
By Andrew Soergel March 25, 2016, at 11:33 a.m.
U.S. economic growth in the final three months of 2015 has again been revised upward and is now believed to have clocked in at twice the pace initially reported back in January.
Corporate profits, however, didn't share in that gain.
America's gross domestic product expanded at a rate of 1.4 percent in October, November and December, according to a report released Friday by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. That's up slightly from last month's 1 percent growth estimate and significantly above an initial 0.7 percent projection.
Economists were generally expecting the revision to again come in around 1 percent, so Friday's release was viewed by many as a pleasant surprise. "Overall, the report shows a stronger finish to the year than previously thought," Bob Hughes, a senior research fellow at the American Institute for Economic Research, wrote in a research note Friday. "Upward revisions to consumer spending, housing, net trade and government spending all contributed to the stronger gain."
Indeed, the improvement was helped in large part by positive revisions to consumer purchases, which make up the lion's share of America's economic growth each quarter. Personal consumption expenditures climbed 2.4 percent in the final three months of 2015, compared with a 2 percent estimate published last month.
Exports, likewise, were bumped up slightly and only fell by about 2 percent in the fourth quarter, compared with a previous 2.7 percent projection. Imports were bumped down slightly and are believed to have fallen 0.7 percent to close out 2015.
Exports bolster GDP calculations, while imports ultimately drag on growth. So revisions to both components helped broaden economic expansion in the fourth quarter. On the whole, the U.S. economy is believed to have expanded 2.4 percent in 2015, up from a previous 2.2 percent estimate.
It's worth noting, however, that a 1.4 percent economic growth rate is hardly robust, particularly considering it's the worst pace of expansion the economy has seen since the first quarter of 2015 and the third-worst quarter of the last two years. Though consumer spending was revised up from initial estimates, its final rate of growth still clocked in below what was seen in the second and third quarters of the year. And nonresidential fixed investment among America's employers – which represents how much businesses are spending on their own workforces to update technology or facilities to help stimulate productivity – was revised down further and is believed to have contracted 2.1 percent in the final three months of the year. That's tied for the steepest drop in any quarter since 2009, when the U.S. was just emerging from the Great Recession.
Nonresidential fixed investments are generally viewed as a positive for America's workers. Such capital spending by employers increases in-house productivity, which allows workers to step up their output without clocking in extra hours. That raises profits for business owners, who are then free to reinvest their extra capital back into the company, potentially bringing on new workers or raising the wages of existing employees.
But that dynamic does not appear to be playing out at this point in the business cycle, which is bad news for workers hoping to receive a raise in the near future. "Considering the weak first quarter [of 2016] for profits and capital market volatility, we cannot completely dismiss the possibility that businesses have begun to rein in plans to hire along with [their] capital spending," Steve Blitz, chief economist at ITG Investment Research, wrote in a research note Sunday. "The next several weeks will be critical in determining whether this is noise from high-frequency data or a fundamental event."
Wall Street weathered its worst start to a calendar year on record in 2016, and although the market has since largely recovered, corporate performance in the first few months of the year was underwhelming on the whole. That trend appears to have carried over from the end of 2015, when profits from current production dropped $159.6 billion, compared with a loss of just $33 billion in the third quarter, according to the bureau's Friday release.
Over the course of 2015, profits adjusted for inventory value and capital consumption fell more than 3 percent, which represents the largest annual drop since 2008. "Most of the weakness came from energy industries: Of the overall $160 billion annualized decline in profits, $124 billion came from petroleum and coal products," Gus Faucher, deputy chief economist at The PNC Financial Services Group, wrote in a research note Friday. "But there were declines in most industries, including both domestic profits and those from abroad, and in both domestic financial and domestic nonfinancial industries."
So while consumer spending maintained a healthy rate of growth last year, a treacherous financial market and shaky international demand weighed on companies' profitability. And considering the beginning of 2016 is believed to have only gotten worse for the country's corporate sector, analysts generally expect to see further weakness next month when data depicting the year's first quarter of economic growth are released.Corporate health isn't nearly as important to the overall economy as consumer spending. But a choppy corporate environment doesn't bode well for wage gains and hiring going forward. 

7.     ANALYSIS
Good growth, business was bad going in the u.s. by 2015. The U.S. economy expanded to 1.4% in October, november, and December, previously estimated at 2.2%. the economic growth rate of 1.4% is hardly robust. This is the worst rate of expansion since the first quarter and the third quarter is the worst in the last two years.
Over the course of 2015, profits adjusted for inventory value and capital consumption fell more than 3 percent, which represents the largest annual drop since 2008. Most of the deterioration came from the energy industry to reach 160 billion while the decline of the coal and oil products reached 124 billion. Remember that in the year 2016 are believed to be worse for the country's corporate sector. The analysis is expected to see further weakness in the months ahead.

Referensi :
http://kuswanto.staff.gunadarma.ac.id/Downloads/files/19597/3.+Pertumbuhan+dan+Perubahan+Struktur+Ekonomidocx.doc.
http://www.slideshare.net/handy456/perekonomian-indonesipertumbuhan-dan-perubahan-struktur-ekonomi
http://www.upy.ac.id/digilib/journal/trisiwi/19.perbedaan_pertumbuhan_ekonomi.pdf
http://www.usnews.com/news/articles/2016-03-25/2015-good-for-us-gdp-growth-bad-for-business


 

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